Tim Bale’s Blog- ‘Boris’s North Shropshire nightmare is eerily reminiscent of Margaret Thatcher’s Eastbourne defeat’, Telegraph, 17 December 2021.
- ‘Your starter for 10: Would the Tories be better off without Boris Johnson?’, Open Democracy, 14 December 2021.
- ‘Boris Johnson’s woes are multiplied if he cannot “unite the right”‘, Financial Times, 11 December 2021.
- ‘Riding the populist wave: the UK Conservatives and the constitution’, Constitution Unit Blog, 10 December 2021.
- ‘To regain lost ground at the next election, Labour will need to convince voters that it can deliver greater social justice and security without risking the economy’, LSE British Politics and Policy, 8 November 2021 (with Paul Webb).
- ‘Boris Johnson wants net zero by 2050. Are his voters behind him?’, The Loop, 3 November 2021.
- ‘Macmillan’s many, many Chancellors’, Daily Telegraph, 30 October 2021.
- ‘The Tories will never change’, UnHerd, 27 October 2021.
- ‘What has happened to western Europe’s centre right?’ (with Cristóbal Rovira Kaltwasser), The Conversation, 13 October 2021.
- ‘Identity politics are a risky strategy for both Labour and the Tories’, Financial Times, 2 October 2021.
Tag Archives: 2017 General Election
‘Death and foxes: why certain issues have the power to turn a political campaign’, Prospect, 7 August 2017
British Election Study research released last week not only confirmed that the campaign made a big difference in 2017, but also gave us an insight into the issues that may have changed voters’ minds. Two or three things on the list—neatly illustrated … Continue reading
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Tagged 2017 General Election, campaigning, Conservatives, dementia tax, Fox hunting, Manifesto, TV debates
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‘The Tories’ deal with the DUP papers over the cracks, but it can’t work miracles’, Telegraph, 26 June 2017.
The ten parliamentary votes provided to Theresa May by the Democratic Unionist Party come at a pretty high price. Not only do they work out at a hundred million pounds apiece in extra spending; there’s also the reputational cost to the … Continue reading
‘Was it the Labour doorstep or the Labour smartphone that swung it for Jeremy?’, UK Election Analysis, 2017, 19 June 2017
Although we need more research before we can categorically confirm that it was ‘the young wot swung it for Labour’ at the General Election, it looks more than possible. And, although their support for Jeremy Corbyn was rooted in more than … Continue reading
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Tagged 2017 General Election, campaigning, clicktivism, Labour Party, party members
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‘DEBATE: Does Theresa May’s failure to win a majority lay the path for another election before the end of the year? YES’, CityAM, 12 June 2017
Unless Theresa May surprises us all and makes the DUP “a big, open, and comprehensive offer” (copyright D. Cameron, 2010) of a full-blown coalition, then we’re going to see the Conservatives try to run a minority government dependent on Ulster Unionist support … Continue reading
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Tagged 2017 General Election, Conservative Party, DUP, Minority Government, Theresa May
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‘Forget culture wars, the election was about power, cash and opportunity’, Observer, 11 June 2017
Bliss was it in that dawn to be alive,” wrote Wordsworth, “but to be young was very heaven!” OK, maybe that’s going a little too far, especially if you didn’t get a wink of sleep on Thursday night. But still. If … Continue reading
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Tagged 2017 General Election, Conservative Party, Jeremy Corbyn, Labour Party, Theresa May
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‘The Conservatives have a leadership decision to make’, Financial Times, 9 June 2017
The Conservative party is, infamously, an autocracy tempered by assassination. If they win elections, or look like winning them, Tory leaders can do pretty much what they want. If they lose them, they are toast. If we were living in … Continue reading
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Tagged 2017 General Election, Conservative Party, DUP, Minority Government, Theresa May
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‘Forward Together: What the Tory manifesto says about Europe’, UK in a Changing Europe, 21 May 2017
Ah, Hear’Say! Not ‘hearsay’, as in stuff that you can’t really substantiate, but Hear’Say – the reality-TV band who went up like a rocket and down like a stick at the beginning of the noughties. Even if you can’t remember … Continue reading
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Tagged 2017 General Election, Conservative Party, EU, Europe, Manifesto, Theresa May
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‘Greens can thrive as a party on the margins’, Times, 31 May 2017
The Greens are clearly the most left-leaning of all the parties that won significant support in 2015. Whether they can repeat their performance then (3.8 per cent and one million votes) is a moot point but even if they end … Continue reading
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Tagged #GE2017, 2017 General Election, Caroline Lucas, Green Party, Greens
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