Tim Bale’s Blog- ‘Think you know who will be the next PM? Think again . . . and again’, Times, 11 July 2017
- ‘The Tories’ deal with the DUP papers over the cracks, but it can’t work miracles’, Telegraph, 26 June 2017.
- ‘EU referendum: one year on – political parties’, UK in a Changing Europe, 26 June 2017.
- ‘Was it the Labour doorstep or the Labour smartphone that swung it for Jeremy?’, UK Election Analysis, 2017, 19 June 2017
- ‘The Tory party is more useless than nasty’, Prospect, 20 June 2017.
- ‘DEBATE: Does Theresa May’s failure to win a majority lay the path for another election before the end of the year? YES’, CityAM, 12 June 2017
- ‘Forget culture wars, the election was about power, cash and opportunity’, Observer, 11 June 2017
- ‘The Conservatives have a leadership decision to make’, Financial Times, 9 June 2017
- ‘Forward Together: What the Tory manifesto says about Europe’, UK in a Changing Europe, 21 May 2017
- ‘Greens can thrive as a party on the margins’, Times, 31 May 2017
Monthly Archives: February 2016
‘Speaking for Britain? MPs broadly reflect the views of their supporters on Europe – but one side should worry a little more than the other’ (with Philip Cowley, Anand Menon and Sofia Vasilopoulou LSE Brexit Blog, 12 February, 2016.
To hear some people talk about ‘the political class’, you’d think that those who do the electing and those that get elected have little in common, creating a damaging disconnect which is supposedly fuelling populist politics on both left and … Continue reading
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Tagged Conservative Party, EU, EU referendum, Labour Party, MPs, Public Opinion, voters, Westminster
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‘Cameron and Tebbit are both wrong: Tory activists are not as set on leaving the EU as many imagine’ (with Monica Poletti and Paul Webb), 5 February 2016.
David Cameron has run into trouble for warning Tory backbenchers not to make up their minds on whether to campaign for Leave or Remain “because of what your constituency association might say”. The reaction to his remarks was swift and … Continue reading
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Tagged activists, Conservative Party, Conservatives, David Cameron, EU, EU referendum, Euroscepticism, party members
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‘What Conservative MPs really think about Britain’s EU membership’ (with Philip Cowley), 2 February 2016.
There is a delicious irony in the fact that David Cameron, who ended up promising his party a referendum so as to avoid Europe tearing apart his government just as it tore apart John Major’s back in the 1990s, has … Continue reading
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Tagged Conservative Party, Conservatives, David Cameron, EU, EU referendum, Euroscepticism
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’12 step programme to rehabilitate Fianna Fáil’, Irish Times, 2 February 2016
When Fianna Fáil asked me back in 2012 what defeated parties needed to do to put things right, I came up with a 12-step programme. So, has the party followed it – or has it fallen off the wagon? 1) … Continue reading
‘EU referendum: A third of MPs could still back Brexit’ (with Philip Cowley and Anand Menon), Spectator, 1 February 2016
How many MPs will come out for Brexit? After hearing endless best guesses, we got rather fed up, and used Ipsos Mori’s Reputation Centre to conduct a proper survey of MPs. The total sample size is just under 100, with … Continue reading
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Tagged Brexit, Conservative Party, David Cameron, EU referendum, MPs, Tories
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‘What they really think on Planet Tory’ (with Philip Cowley), Daily Telegraph, 1 February 2016
When The Telegraph broke the parliamentary expenses scandal back in 2009, many wondered what planet MPs were living on. In fact, they live on two. When it comes to their views on the EU, Tories in Westminster really are from … Continue reading
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Tagged Brexit, Conservative Party, David Cameron, EU referendum, Euroscepticism, MPs, Tories
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‘The Forgotten Cecil Parkinson’, New Statesman, 26 January 2016
When most people who were around in the 1980s think of Cecil Parkinson, they will recall only one thing – his affair with Sara Keays and his subsequent resignation. But he actually deserves to be remembered for far more than that. Indeed, … Continue reading
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Tagged Cecil Parkinson, Conservative Party, Margaret Thatcher
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