Tim Bale’s Blog
- ‘Like it’s 1997? Major’s lot weren’t so pointless, poisonous or loathed’, Observer, 17 March 2024.
- ‘The fading promises of COP28’, QMUL, 26 February 2024.
- ‘Reform’s success is not the real story of the by-elections’, Financial Times, 16 February 2024
- ‘Tories’ worst nightmare is coming true as Reform threat proves real’, Daily Express, 16 February 2024
- ‘The plotters, the coup and Farage’s path to the Tory throne’, Daily Telegraph, 27 January 2024.
- ‘Europe is marching to the right. Can Keir Starmer carry the centre-left torch?’, Observer, 14 January 2024.
- ‘The Conservative Party’, UK in a Changing Europe, 5 December 2023.
- ‘The Tories have changed direction – but they may not be headed where you think’, Daily Telegraph, 18 November 2023.
- ‘Brexit and the “Merkel Myth”‘ (with Karl Pike), UK in a Changing Europe, 27 October 2023
- ‘Cricket fan Rishi should shun Right and hold out for a Geoff Boycott route to unlikely victory’, Evening Standard, 25 October 2023
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Recent Posts
- ‘Like it’s 1997? Major’s lot weren’t so pointless, poisonous or loathed’, Observer, 17 March 2024.
- ‘The fading promises of COP28’, QMUL, 26 February 2024.
- ‘Reform’s success is not the real story of the by-elections’, Financial Times, 16 February 2024
- ‘Tories’ worst nightmare is coming true as Reform threat proves real’, Daily Express, 16 February 2024
- ‘The plotters, the coup and Farage’s path to the Tory throne’, Daily Telegraph, 27 January 2024.
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Monthly Archives: January 2019
‘Tim Bale: Johnson and Rees-Mogg are still in with a shout in the race to succeed May’, ConservativeHome, 7 January 2019
In order to stay in office, the Prime Minister had to promise her party that she would be gone before the next election. But there’s little agreement among Conservative members – and even less agreement among Conservative voters – as … Continue reading
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‘People want to have their cake and eat it’, Involve, 24 January 2019.
‘Jesus. Never mind having their cake and eating it, too. They want the flipping moon on a stick.’ Whether that’s how politicians and staffers will actually react to What People Want to see in Parties, I’ve no idea. But I confess: … Continue reading
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‘Theresa May asks her MPs to ‘think about history’. She should do so too’, Evening Standard, 18 January 2019
As the smoke clears at the end of one hell of a week at Westminster, Theresa May has to choose between her party and her country. Either she decides to risk the UK crashing out of the EU without a deal on … Continue reading
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‘Would a Norway option break the Brexit stalemate? Here’s what new polling tells us’, The Conversation, 16 January 2019
The Labour politician Jim Callaghan famously remarked to his colleagues in 1970 that a referendum on Europe might end up being “a little rubber life raft” into which they all might one day have to climb. Just five years later they did … Continue reading
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‘The opposite of enthusiasm: why do people support or oppose the Brexit deal?’, YouGov, 15 January 2019 (with Stephen Fisher and Eilidh Macfarlane).
We know – at least we think we know – that voters don’t think much of Theresa May’s deal. But we don’t really know why – until now, perhaps. A YouGov survey of 1754 adults in Britain conducted on 7-8th January … Continue reading
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‘Why is the Brexit Deal so unpopular?’, What the UK Thinks, 11 January 2019 (with Stephen Fisher).
Ever since the EU withdrawal deal was published in November, Mrs May has been struggling to persuade MPs to back it. On Tuesday, we should learn whether she has eventually managed to win them over or not. Her attempts to do so have not … Continue reading
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‘Jeremy Corbyn’s successor may be more establishment than you expect’, New Statesman, 3 January, 2019.
Those who sign off their tweets with #JC4PM2019 may find it difficult to contemplate but sometime, somehow, their man will eventually have to give way to a successor. It may not happen soon. But it will happen. No one, least … Continue reading
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