Tim Bale’s Blog- ‘Labour leadership race: survey shows Rebecca Long-Bailey only just scrapes majority among Momentum members’ (with Paul Webb), The Conversation, 15 January 2020.
- ‘Remember: the average Labour member isn’t as political as you think’, New Statesman, 13 January 2020.
- ‘Keir Starmer, Brexit and the Labour leadership contest’, 10 January 2020.
- ‘Reflections on releasing political polling results into the big wide world’, QMUL Blog, 3 January 2020
- ‘Will the new Tory intake help to build a more progressive party? Don’t count on it’, Guardian, 19 December 2019.
- ‘The real Boris Johnson: one-nation Tory or raging populist?’, Observer, 15 December 2019.
- ‘Boris Johnson and Jeremy Corbyn are set to disappoint their supporters’, Financial Times, 7 December 2019.
- ‘Brexit shows how the populist right can be powerful without winning office’, Washington Post, 2 December 2019.
- ‘Who is winning the ground war in London?’ (with Philip Cowley), Times, 6 December 2019.
- ‘Why is the Conservative Party so good at winning?’, Bloomberg, 18 November 2019.
Monthly Archives: July 2015
‘The UK general election, 2015: Surprise! Or maybe not….’, Report for German-Southeast Asian Center of Excellence for Public Policy and Good Governance (CPG), July 2015
One does not need to be a political scientist, let alone a rocket scientist, to know why, broadly speaking, the opposition Labour Party lost the election and why its rival, the Conservative Party, won a second term in office –this … Continue reading
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Tagged 2015 General election, Conservative Party, David Cameron, Ed Miliband, Labour Party
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‘Who will win the Labour leadership election? It’s a little early to tell’ (with Paul Webb) New Statesman, 22 June 2015
It’s doubtful that voters are paying that much attention to Labour’s leadership contest, but that hasn’t prevented pollsters from beginning to ask them who they think the party should pick. First out of the traps was Ipsos MORI. Its poll … Continue reading
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Tagged Andy Burnham, contest, Jeremy Corbyn, Labour leader, Labour leadership, Labour Party, Liz Kendall, party members, Yvette Cooper
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‘Only 15 per cent of Conservative party members would vote to leave the EU’ (with Paul Webb) Telegraph, 15 June 2015
Europe is already impinging, if only indirectly on Labour’s leadership contest. Andy Burnham in particular has suggested the party needs to be careful it doesn’t ‘do a Scotland’ by associating itself so closely with an all-party campaign that it ruins … Continue reading
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Tagged Conservative Party, David Cameron, EU, EU referendum, EU renegotiation, Europe, Euroscepticism, Labour Party, party members
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