Tim Bale’s Blog- ‘Labour leadership race: survey shows Rebecca Long-Bailey only just scrapes majority among Momentum members’ (with Paul Webb), The Conversation, 15 January 2020.
- ‘Remember: the average Labour member isn’t as political as you think’, New Statesman, 13 January 2020.
- ‘Keir Starmer, Brexit and the Labour leadership contest’, 10 January 2020.
- ‘Reflections on releasing political polling results into the big wide world’, QMUL Blog, 3 January 2020
- ‘Will the new Tory intake help to build a more progressive party? Don’t count on it’, Guardian, 19 December 2019.
- ‘The real Boris Johnson: one-nation Tory or raging populist?’, Observer, 15 December 2019.
- ‘Boris Johnson and Jeremy Corbyn are set to disappoint their supporters’, Financial Times, 7 December 2019.
- ‘Brexit shows how the populist right can be powerful without winning office’, Washington Post, 2 December 2019.
- ‘Who is winning the ground war in London?’ (with Philip Cowley), Times, 6 December 2019.
- ‘Why is the Conservative Party so good at winning?’, Bloomberg, 18 November 2019.
Monthly Archives: August 2016
‘Why don’t people vote? You asked Google – here’s the answer’, Guardian 27 July 2016.
For those of us who troop down to the polling station at every election, it can be pretty frustrating that not everybody does the same – especially when we end up with a result we don’t like, and which we reckon … Continue reading
‘As a surge of supporters sign up to vote in the leadership contest, can Owen Smith save Labour? It depends’, City AM, 20 July 2016.
While it’s tempting to ask whether anyone at all can save Labour, this is a question that deserves a serious answer. After all, Owen Smith may be the only man standing between the Labour Party and imminent implosion. The answer, … Continue reading
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Tagged Jeremy Corbyn, Labour leadership, Labour Party, Owen Smith
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‘Here’s what we know about Labour’s £3 supporters – and whether they’ll pay £25 to help Corbyn again’, The Conversation, 19 July 2016 (with Monica Poletti and Paul Webb).
Forces on both sides of the Jeremy Corbyn debate are apparently trying to make the most of the 48-hour window within which anyone can register as a supporter of the Labour Party and have a vote in the impending leadership … Continue reading
‘Can Theresa May even sell her new conservatism to her own cabinet?’, Observer, 17 May 2016.
Political parties can be frighteningly small worlds, with a cripplingly limited cast of characters. As a result, people whose careers are widely assumed to be over – either because they once messed up badly or because their face no longer … Continue reading
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Tagged Conservative Party, Conservative Party members, Nick Timothy, Theresa May, Tories
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‘Middle-class university graduates will decide the future of the Labour Party’, New Statesman, 14 July 2016 (with Monica Poletti and Paul Webb).
We don’t yet know whether it will be Angela Eagle or Owen Smith, or maybe both of them, who ends up running against Jeremy Corbyn for the Labour leadership. But what we do know – because we reckon we now … Continue reading
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Tagged Jeremy Corbyn, Labour leadership, Labour members, Labour Party, party members
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‘With the Labour Party in complete turmoil, does it have any chance of regaining power by 2025? No’, City AM, 13 July 2016.
Labour is going to lose the next general election and very probably the one after that. So whether it can win again by 2025 depends entirely on how soon Theresa May decides to go to the country. General elections are … Continue reading
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Tagged Brexit, Conservative Party, Jeremy Corbyn, Labour Party, Theresa May
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‘What do the Tory grassroots want from Prime Minister Theresa May?’, Conversation, 11 July 2016 (with Paul Webb and Monica Poletti).
Theresa May has secured her place as Prime Minister and leader of the Conservatives without having to win the direct approval of her party’s membership. The original plan was for her to run against Andrea Leadsom in an election, but … Continue reading
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Tagged Conservative Party, Conservative Party members, party members, Theresa May, Tories, Tory Party
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