Tim Bale’s Blog- ‘Labour leadership race: survey shows Rebecca Long-Bailey only just scrapes majority among Momentum members’ (with Paul Webb), The Conversation, 15 January 2020.
- ‘Remember: the average Labour member isn’t as political as you think’, New Statesman, 13 January 2020.
- ‘Keir Starmer, Brexit and the Labour leadership contest’, 10 January 2020.
- ‘Reflections on releasing political polling results into the big wide world’, QMUL Blog, 3 January 2020
- ‘Will the new Tory intake help to build a more progressive party? Don’t count on it’, Guardian, 19 December 2019.
- ‘The real Boris Johnson: one-nation Tory or raging populist?’, Observer, 15 December 2019.
- ‘Boris Johnson and Jeremy Corbyn are set to disappoint their supporters’, Financial Times, 7 December 2019.
- ‘Brexit shows how the populist right can be powerful without winning office’, Washington Post, 2 December 2019.
- ‘Who is winning the ground war in London?’ (with Philip Cowley), Times, 6 December 2019.
- ‘Why is the Conservative Party so good at winning?’, Bloomberg, 18 November 2019.
Monthly Archives: May 2017
‘Britain’s Labour Party is seeing a flood of new members. That’s why it’s in such trouble.’, Washington Post, 10 May 2017
Whether you look at the opinion polls or at the beating it’s just taken in a slew of local elections, Britain’s Labour Party is in a lot of trouble. Theresa May, the country’s Conservative prime minister, called for an early general election next month. … Continue reading
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Tagged Jeremy Corbyn, Labour leadership, Labour Party, Labour Party members
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‘What matters for Labour is not the general election but what happens next’, New Statesman, 19 May 2017
A handful of recent polls suggest Labour is doing better than many expected at the start of the campaign. Whatever the reason, though, the gap between it and the Conservatives is still a yawning one. Bluntly, it remains the case … Continue reading
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Tagged election, Jeremy Corbyn, Labour leadership, Labour members, Labour Party
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‘Theresa May announces dramatic re-think on “dementia tax”‘, 22 May 2017
In a hastily-scheduled (and totally-hypothetical) media appearance, Mrs May said the following: ‘Governing is about making hard choices but it’s also about listening and, wherever possible, about building a national consensus. In the last few days it’s become clear to … Continue reading
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Theresa May’s offer on ‘workers’ rights’: how does it stack up against past Tory governments?
Most Conservative governments in the 20th century couldn’t really be said to have positively increased workers’ rights. Indeed, some of them actually eroded them – most obviously the Thatcher government but also, one could argue, the Baldwin government (with its post- … Continue reading
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Tagged Benjamin Disraeli, Conservative Party, Theresa May, workers' rights
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‘Lights, camera, discussion? The role of televised debates in modern elections’, Centre for Public Impact, 26 April 2017
Theresa May, it would appear, has poured water on the idea of televised leader’s debates during the ‘snap’ UK general election she’s just called. Depending on your point of view, this means either that she is ‘running scared of the … Continue reading
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‘Corbynism might not actually end – even if Labour loses the election’ (with David Jeffery), The Conversation, 26 April 2017
Because the general election looks set to produce an impressive win for the Conservatives, its main interest lies not in the result itself but in the result of that result. The House of Commons will look very different on June … Continue reading
‘Theresa May is surfing a wave before tide finally goes out’, Sunday Business Post (Ireland), 23 April 2017
Let’s not over-complicate things. Prime ministers only call an early election if they need to or because they’re sure they’re going to win. In Theresa May’s case, both things apply – and in spades. May could probably have made it … Continue reading
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