Tim Bale’s Blog- ‘Why Nigel Farage is resigning as an MP, only to stand again – expert analysis: Self-pity and self-obsession’, The Conversation, 7 July 2026.
- ‘There’s one thing that could revive Farage’s fortunes’, Independent, 29 June 2026.
- ‘Migration, Brexit, and Starmer’s exit: Inside Britain’s political meltdown’, Anadolu Agency, 23 June 2026
- ‘Brexit might just have killed the Conservative Party’, LSE Blog, 18 June 2026
- Electoral reform for the UK? Don’t bet on it, Financial Times, 3 June 2026.
- ‘Britain’s “ungovernable” decade’, Anadolu Ajansı, 21 May 2026.
- ‘Dumping Starmer won’t reverse Labour’s fortunes [unless….]’, New Statesman, 12 May 2026
- ‘Will Nigel Farage overtake the prime minister as the U-turn leader?’, Independent, 2 April 2026
- ‘Polarised and Powerful: Party Members in British Politics’, Political Insight, 18 March 2026.
- ‘Political treachery is a dangerous art. Streeting must perfect it if he wants to wear the crown’, Daily Telegraph, 16 February 2026.
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Recent Posts
- ‘Why Nigel Farage is resigning as an MP, only to stand again – expert analysis: Self-pity and self-obsession’, The Conversation, 7 July 2026.
- ‘There’s one thing that could revive Farage’s fortunes’, Independent, 29 June 2026.
- ‘Migration, Brexit, and Starmer’s exit: Inside Britain’s political meltdown’, Anadolu Agency, 23 June 2026
- ‘Brexit might just have killed the Conservative Party’, LSE Blog, 18 June 2026
- Electoral reform for the UK? Don’t bet on it, Financial Times, 3 June 2026.
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Author Archives: tpbale
David Cameron’s next EU challenge: renegotiation, Telegraph, 26 May 2014
Tory MPs may have agreed not to panic in the light of Ukip’s big win, but that doesn’t mean David Cameron isn’t going to come under a huge amount of pressure from them in the coming days and weeks to do … Continue reading
The Conservatives will face many challenges after the votes are counted in the European Parliament election, LSE British Politics and Policy Blog, 9 May 2014
To say the Tories are unlikely to do as well in May 2014 as they did in June 2009 is a bit of an understatement. Five years ago they topped the poll, getting just under 4.2 million votes or nearly … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged Alternative für Deutschland, Cameron, Conservative Party, ECR, Elections, European Parliament, MEPs, Merkel
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‘Are Tory activists weeding out “moderate” MPs?’, Political Studies Association Blog, 6 March, 2014 (with Paul Webb)
When two Conservative MPs were deselected in rapid succession by their local constituency associations, it marked to some a welcome assertion of grassroots rights and power. To others, it was no such thing. Instead the move was an inevitable consequence of … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged Anne McIntosh, Conservative Party, deselection, grassroots, MPs, parliamentary candidates, selection, Tim Yeo, Tory
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‘David Cameron shouldn’t bank on Angela Merkel to sort out his EU issues’ Guardian, 26 February, 2014
Angela Merkel and David Cameron didn’t get off to the greatest of starts: one of his earliest decisions as party leader was to pull Conservative MEPs out of Merkel’s party’s group in the European parliament. But their relationship seems to have … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged Britain. Conservatism, Cameron, CDU, Christian Democracy, Christian Democrats, Conservative Party, EU, Germany, Merkel
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‘Getting the populists’ message’, Policy Network, 20 February 2014
The power of populism lies principally in its appeal to our emotions, or so we’re often told. That may be true – but only up to a point. Focusing on populism’s emotional appeal allows us to forget that much of … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged Europe, Mainstream response, Nigel Farage, Populism, UKIP
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‘Inside the Tory Mind’, Progress, 3 February 2014
The past often sheds light on the present, either by throwing up stark contrasts or by revealing eerie similarities. Stuart Ball’s book, Portrait of a Party: The Conservative Party in Britain 1918-1945, which came out last year, provides plenty of … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged Conservative, David Cameron, Margaret Thatcher, MPs, Parliament, right-wing, Tory
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‘Tim Yeo’s deselection: Is this the start of a Tory Spring?’ Telegraph, 5 February, 2014
The result of the ballot of local members was decisive. After a long and bloody deselection battle with his constituency association, the sitting MP had to admit defeat. Tim Yeo, Suffolk South, February 2014? No. Nigel Nicholson, Bournemouth East, 45 … Continue reading
‘Picking up on populism: playing with fire, or putting out the flames?’, Policy Network, 15 January 2014
The centre-left is still missing a popular critique, particularly on the economy. Picking up on populism may be playing with fire but, done carefully and, dare one say, responsibly, it could very well do social democrats more good than harm … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged Centre-left, Cooper, economy, Farage, immigration, Labour, Miliband, Populism
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Four reasons Ed Miliband is still a good opposition leader, Guardian, 16 January 2014
Ed Miliband’s numbers are bad – so bad that apparently anyone presenting on polling to the shadow cabinet isn’t allowed to talk about them. But that doesn’t necessarily mean he’s doing a bad job as Labour leader. Nor does it mean his … Continue reading