Tim Bale’s Blog- ‘Labour leadership race: survey shows Rebecca Long-Bailey only just scrapes majority among Momentum members’ (with Paul Webb), The Conversation, 15 January 2020.
- ‘Remember: the average Labour member isn’t as political as you think’, New Statesman, 13 January 2020.
- ‘Keir Starmer, Brexit and the Labour leadership contest’, 10 January 2020.
- ‘Reflections on releasing political polling results into the big wide world’, QMUL Blog, 3 January 2020
- ‘Will the new Tory intake help to build a more progressive party? Don’t count on it’, Guardian, 19 December 2019.
- ‘The real Boris Johnson: one-nation Tory or raging populist?’, Observer, 15 December 2019.
- ‘Boris Johnson and Jeremy Corbyn are set to disappoint their supporters’, Financial Times, 7 December 2019.
- ‘Brexit shows how the populist right can be powerful without winning office’, Washington Post, 2 December 2019.
- ‘Who is winning the ground war in London?’ (with Philip Cowley), Times, 6 December 2019.
- ‘Why is the Conservative Party so good at winning?’, Bloomberg, 18 November 2019.
Tag Archives: election
‘Ten lessons for Fine Gael, Fianna Fáil from Tory election disaster’, Irish Times, 20 October 2017.
The dust might not have settled but the data is in. Thanks to research conducted by various pollsters, we have a pretty good idea of what happened and why in last June’s UK general election. And there are some relevant … Continue reading
‘What matters for Labour is not the general election but what happens next’, New Statesman, 19 May 2017
A handful of recent polls suggest Labour is doing better than many expected at the start of the campaign. Whatever the reason, though, the gap between it and the Conservatives is still a yawning one. Bluntly, it remains the case … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged election, Jeremy Corbyn, Labour leadership, Labour members, Labour Party
Leave a comment
‘Would a 2017 General Election mean a landslide victory for the Conservative Party? Yes’ CityAM, 20 September 2016
Unless everything we think we know about politics turns out to be wrong, the Tories are going to win the next election. They are way ahead of Labour on both economic competence and best Prime Minister. Just how big that … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged Conservative Party, election, Prime Minister, Theresa May
Leave a comment
Four reasons Ed Miliband is still a good opposition leader, Guardian, 16 January 2014
Ed Miliband’s numbers are bad – so bad that apparently anyone presenting on polling to the shadow cabinet isn’t allowed to talk about them. But that doesn’t necessarily mean he’s doing a bad job as Labour leader. Nor does it mean his … Continue reading
How the countryside could lose David Cameron the 2015 general election, Telegraph, 1 November 2013
Quite how they conducted their poll, I’m not sure – they never got back to me.* But the Countryside Alliance is claiming that around a fifth of its members have fallen out of love with the Conservatives. And not just because … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged Conservative Party, Countryside Alliance, David Cameron, election, hunting, Vote-OK
Leave a comment
Cameron and the Conservatives: a start of term report, PSA Blog, 27 September, 2013
Assurances over the summer that David Cameron was well on the way to healing relations with some of his backbenchers (via a combination of Number Ten BBQs, economic recovery and the PM’s support for the EU Referendum Bill) look a little optimistic … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged Conservatives, cost of living, David Cameron, economy, election, Labour, Miliband
Leave a comment
