Tim Bale’s Blog- ‘Labour leadership race: survey shows Rebecca Long-Bailey only just scrapes majority among Momentum members’ (with Paul Webb), The Conversation, 15 January 2020.
- ‘Remember: the average Labour member isn’t as political as you think’, New Statesman, 13 January 2020.
- ‘Keir Starmer, Brexit and the Labour leadership contest’, 10 January 2020.
- ‘Reflections on releasing political polling results into the big wide world’, QMUL Blog, 3 January 2020
- ‘Will the new Tory intake help to build a more progressive party? Don’t count on it’, Guardian, 19 December 2019.
- ‘The real Boris Johnson: one-nation Tory or raging populist?’, Observer, 15 December 2019.
- ‘Boris Johnson and Jeremy Corbyn are set to disappoint their supporters’, Financial Times, 7 December 2019.
- ‘Brexit shows how the populist right can be powerful without winning office’, Washington Post, 2 December 2019.
- ‘Who is winning the ground war in London?’ (with Philip Cowley), Times, 6 December 2019.
- ‘Why is the Conservative Party so good at winning?’, Bloomberg, 18 November 2019.
Tag Archives: Conservative Party members
‘Why Labour’s Brexit strategy may be in trouble – and why Theresa May has reason to worry too’ (with Alan Wager), New Statesman, 5 February 2018.
In spite of the fact that it accords with common wisdom – or maybe because of it – aside from the odd (sometimes very odd) political scientist, not many people will have heard of ‘May’s special law of curvilinear disparity’. Essentially, it … Continue reading
‘OMG Britain’s Tories are SO OLD. Conservatives are right to be worried about their lack of popularity with young Brits’, Politico, 5 October 2017.
The Tories have an age problem. In June’s general election, some two-thirds of British voters aged 18-25 voted Labour. Only one in five voted Conservative. That’s got the party worried — and rightly so. Once upon a time, statistics like these were … Continue reading
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Tagged Andrea Leadsom, Conservative Party, Conservative Party members
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‘How the Tory party can solve its membership crisis, in three easy steps’, Guardian, 3 October 2017.
The Conservative party no longer seems capable of winning elections by a convincing margin. Nor does it attract as many members as its main rivals. Arguably, the two things are related. A successful campaign requires cash, as well as an attractive offer … Continue reading
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Tagged Conservative Party, Conservative Party members, Tories
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‘A Conservative secret weapon at the last election – the non-members who worked for victory’, ConservativeHome, 2 May 2017
With local elections only a few weeks away, the Conservatives, like the nation’s other political parties, will be relying on their activists to do the on-the-ground campaigning that can occasionally make a difference between winning a seat or even a … Continue reading
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Tagged campaigning, Conservative Party, Conservative Party members, Elections, party members
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‘The Conservatives who threatened to vote UKIP. All mouth and no trousers.’, ConservativeHome, 19 March 2017
So much has happened in politics since the summer that it takes a bit of effort to remember a time when Theresa May wasn’t the Conservative leader and Brexit wasn’t all we ever talked about. But cast your mind back, … Continue reading
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Tagged Conservative Party, Conservative Party members, Elections, party members, UKIP
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‘Are elections won by members or money?’, ConservativeHome, 22 December 2016
We live in a golden age of political participation. Hard to believe it, I know. But when it comes to people joining political parties, it’s true – or at least half true. On the one hand, huge numbers of people … Continue reading
‘Can Theresa May even sell her new conservatism to her own cabinet?’, Observer, 17 May 2016.
Political parties can be frighteningly small worlds, with a cripplingly limited cast of characters. As a result, people whose careers are widely assumed to be over – either because they once messed up badly or because their face no longer … Continue reading
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Tagged Conservative Party, Conservative Party members, Nick Timothy, Theresa May, Tories
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