Tim Bale’s Blog
- ‘What does history tell us about how close Boris could be to his voter sell-by date?’, Telegraph, 1 February 2022
- ‘Just what exactly is continuing to keep Boris Johnson in power?’, Observer, 17 April 2022.
- ‘Mainstream right in Western Europe: challenging times; trouble ahead?’ (with Cristóbal Rovira Kaltwasser), UK in a Changing Europe, 22 January 2022.
- ‘Boris’s North Shropshire nightmare is eerily reminiscent of Margaret Thatcher’s Eastbourne defeat’, Telegraph, 17 December 2021.
- ‘Your starter for 10: Would the Tories be better off without Boris Johnson?’, Open Democracy, 14 December 2021.
- ‘Boris Johnson’s woes are multiplied if he cannot “unite the right”‘, Financial Times, 11 December 2021.
- ‘Riding the populist wave: the UK Conservatives and the constitution’, Constitution Unit Blog, 10 December 2021.
- ‘To regain lost ground at the next election, Labour will need to convince voters that it can deliver greater social justice and security without risking the economy’, LSE British Politics and Policy, 8 November 2021 (with Paul Webb).
- ‘Boris Johnson wants net zero by 2050. Are his voters behind him?’, The Loop, 3 November 2021.
- ‘Macmillan’s many, many Chancellors’, Daily Telegraph, 30 October 2021.
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Recent Posts
- ‘What does history tell us about how close Boris could be to his voter sell-by date?’, Telegraph, 1 February 2022
- ‘Just what exactly is continuing to keep Boris Johnson in power?’, Observer, 17 April 2022.
- ‘Mainstream right in Western Europe: challenging times; trouble ahead?’ (with Cristóbal Rovira Kaltwasser), UK in a Changing Europe, 22 January 2022.
- ‘Boris’s North Shropshire nightmare is eerily reminiscent of Margaret Thatcher’s Eastbourne defeat’, Telegraph, 17 December 2021.
- ‘Your starter for 10: Would the Tories be better off without Boris Johnson?’, Open Democracy, 14 December 2021.
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Tag Archives: Conservative Party members
‘Why Labour’s Brexit strategy may be in trouble – and why Theresa May has reason to worry too’ (with Alan Wager), New Statesman, 5 February 2018.
In spite of the fact that it accords with common wisdom – or maybe because of it – aside from the odd (sometimes very odd) political scientist, not many people will have heard of ‘May’s special law of curvilinear disparity’. Essentially, it … Continue reading
‘OMG Britain’s Tories are SO OLD. Conservatives are right to be worried about their lack of popularity with young Brits’, Politico, 5 October 2017.
The Tories have an age problem. In June’s general election, some two-thirds of British voters aged 18-25 voted Labour. Only one in five voted Conservative. That’s got the party worried — and rightly so. Once upon a time, statistics like these were … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged Andrea Leadsom, Conservative Party, Conservative Party members
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‘How the Tory party can solve its membership crisis, in three easy steps’, Guardian, 3 October 2017.
The Conservative party no longer seems capable of winning elections by a convincing margin. Nor does it attract as many members as its main rivals. Arguably, the two things are related. A successful campaign requires cash, as well as an attractive offer … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged Conservative Party, Conservative Party members, Tories
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‘A Conservative secret weapon at the last election – the non-members who worked for victory’, ConservativeHome, 2 May 2017
With local elections only a few weeks away, the Conservatives, like the nation’s other political parties, will be relying on their activists to do the on-the-ground campaigning that can occasionally make a difference between winning a seat or even a … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged campaigning, Conservative Party, Conservative Party members, Elections, party members
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‘The Conservatives who threatened to vote UKIP. All mouth and no trousers.’, ConservativeHome, 19 March 2017
So much has happened in politics since the summer that it takes a bit of effort to remember a time when Theresa May wasn’t the Conservative leader and Brexit wasn’t all we ever talked about. But cast your mind back, … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged Conservative Party, Conservative Party members, Elections, party members, UKIP
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‘Are elections won by members or money?’, ConservativeHome, 22 December 2016
We live in a golden age of political participation. Hard to believe it, I know. But when it comes to people joining political parties, it’s true – or at least half true. On the one hand, huge numbers of people … Continue reading
‘Can Theresa May even sell her new conservatism to her own cabinet?’, Observer, 17 May 2016.
Political parties can be frighteningly small worlds, with a cripplingly limited cast of characters. As a result, people whose careers are widely assumed to be over – either because they once messed up badly or because their face no longer … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged Conservative Party, Conservative Party members, Nick Timothy, Theresa May, Tories
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‘What do the Tory grassroots want from Prime Minister Theresa May?’, Conversation, 11 July 2016 (with Paul Webb and Monica Poletti).
Theresa May has secured her place as Prime Minister and leader of the Conservatives without having to win the direct approval of her party’s membership. The original plan was for her to run against Andrea Leadsom in an election, but … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged Conservative Party, Conservative Party members, party members, Theresa May, Tories, Tory Party
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