Tim Bale’s Blog- ‘Polarised and Powerful: Party Members in British Politics’, Political Insight, 18 March 2026.
- ‘Political treachery is a dangerous art. Streeting must perfect it if he wants to wear the crown’, Daily Telegraph, 16 February 2026.
- ‘The two bloc polarisation of Britain’s voters and Party members’, LSE British Politics Blog, 2 February 2026.
- ‘Ahead of seismic local elections, what we know about Reform’s ability to put boots on the ground for the campaign’, The Conversation, 20 January 2026
- ‘Churchill’s defection didn’t kill the Tories. Robert Jenrick’s certainly won’t’, Daily Telegraph, 19 January 2026.
- ‘The ten most surprising facts from the 2024 election revealed’, The Conversation, 15 December 2025.
- ‘Our survey of Green party members suggests Zack Polanski has the mandate to take his party in a more radical direction’, (with Paul Webb and Stavroula Chrona) The Conversation, 3 September 2025
- ‘Even tactical voting will not help Labour survive a Tory-Reform pact’, Independent, 3 December 2025.
- ‘A Reform UK government isn’t inevitable’, Interview with LSE’s Joanna Bale (no relation!), 18 September 2025.
- The memoirs of a whip in love with his leaders’, Political Quarterly, 30 June 2025.
Tag Archives: keir-starmer
‘London isn’t a Labour city any more — the three key questions that new polling raises’, The Standard, 24 June 2025.
“London is a Labour city” was always something of an exaggeration but it’s even more misleading today than it has been for quite a while. Polling just released by the Mile End Institute (MEI) at Queen Mary University of London … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged keir-starmer, Labour Party, london, mei, politics, Polling, uk-politics
Leave a comment
‘Starmer’s immigrant rhetoric and politics of migration’, Anadolu, 23 May 2025.
The decision last week by British Prime Minister Keir Starmer to announce a headline-grabbing tightening of the UK’s immigration regime – and some of the tough talk in which he couched that announcement – is not simply a knee-jerk reaction … Continue reading
‘Starmer’s winter fuel allowance “U-turn” sets him on a tricky path with backbenchers and voters’, The Conversation, 22 May 2025.
The U-turn is a long and, depending on your point of view, honourable or dishonourable tradition in British politics. Now Keir Starmer has been accused of following this tradition after heavily hinting the UK government is reconsidering last year’s decision to deny the winter … Continue reading
‘Labour is struggling, but there are four reasons Conservatives cannot be complacent’, ConservativeHome, 26 September 2024
Not for the first time, it was Focaldata’s James Kanagasooriam – the analyst who initially drew attention to the Red Wall’s potential to turn blue in 2019 – who put his finger on it before anyone else. “Labour”, he predicted a … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged Conservative Party, defeat, Elections, keir-starmer, Labour Party, recovery
Leave a comment
‘Local election results will be a serious shellacking for Rishi Sunak and the Tories’, Express, 3 March 2024.
If a week is a long time in politics then three years is a lifetime. In the first week of May 2021, Boris Johnson’s Tories won the Hartlepool byelection from Labour with on a swing of 16 percent – an … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged Conservative Party, keir-starmer, Labour Party, local-elections, rishi-sunak
Leave a comment
‘Tories’ worst nightmare is coming true as Reform threat proves real’, Daily Express, 16 February 2024
Both the Prime Minister and his opposite number have had a torrid time of it over the last week. Things began particularly badly for Starmer, when anti-Semitic remarks made by Labour’s candidate in Rochdale, Azhar Ali, came to light. They … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged keir-starmer, Labour Party, politics, reformuk, rishi-sunak, uk-politics
Leave a comment
‘Europe is marching to the right. Can Keir Starmer carry the centre-left torch?’, Observer, 14 January 2024.
If Keir Starmer’s Labour party wins power this year, it will be bucking a trend. In many European countries, it’s not the centre left but the right – and all too often the far right – that seems to be … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged Europe, far-right, keir-starmer, Labour Party, politics, uk-politics
Leave a comment
‘The Conservative Party’, UK in a Changing Europe, 5 December 2023.
British voters have fallen out of love with the Conservative Party – and hopes that Rishi Sunak might persuade them otherwise are fading fast. On almost any measure, the Conservatives have fallen behind Labour. And while the Leader of the … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged Conservatives, keir-starmer, Labour, politics, rishi-sunak, uk-politics
Leave a comment
Tim Bale's Blog 