Tim Bale’s Blog- ‘Boris’s North Shropshire nightmare is eerily reminiscent of Margaret Thatcher’s Eastbourne defeat’, Telegraph, 17 December 2021.
- ‘Your starter for 10: Would the Tories be better off without Boris Johnson?’, Open Democracy, 14 December 2021.
- ‘Boris Johnson’s woes are multiplied if he cannot “unite the right”‘, Financial Times, 11 December 2021.
- ‘Riding the populist wave: the UK Conservatives and the constitution’, Constitution Unit Blog, 10 December 2021.
- ‘To regain lost ground at the next election, Labour will need to convince voters that it can deliver greater social justice and security without risking the economy’, LSE British Politics and Policy, 8 November 2021 (with Paul Webb).
- ‘Boris Johnson wants net zero by 2050. Are his voters behind him?’, The Loop, 3 November 2021.
- ‘Macmillan’s many, many Chancellors’, Daily Telegraph, 30 October 2021.
- ‘The Tories will never change’, UnHerd, 27 October 2021.
- ‘What has happened to western Europe’s centre right?’ (with Cristóbal Rovira Kaltwasser), The Conversation, 13 October 2021.
- ‘Identity politics are a risky strategy for both Labour and the Tories’, Financial Times, 2 October 2021.
Tag Archives: Brexit
‘Truth to tell: populism and the immigration debate’, LSE Politics and Policy, 1 March 2017.
We are living in a world where it’s no longer ‘the economy, stupid’. That’s not to say real wages, the cost of living, and tax-and-spend don’t matter to people anymore. Clearly, they still do. But they no longer trump nearly … Continue reading
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Tagged Brexit, Conservative Party, EU, GAL-TAN, immigration, Labour Party, Migration, Populism
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‘Can Labour survive Brexit?’, CityAm, 6 February 2017.
From the 1960s to the 1980s Labour was forever u-turning on whether the UK should join or leave Europe. But it seemed finally to have embraced Britain’s EU membership from the 1990s onwards. That was certainly the impression that the … Continue reading
‘David Cameron: The moderniser whose bravery stopped fatally short’, New Statesman, 13 September 2016
Few if any British Prime Ministers have been able to rescue their reputations by publishing their memoirs. David Cameron had better hope he proves one of the exceptions to the rule because, right now, he’s in danger of being written … Continue reading
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Tagged Brexit, Conservative Party, Conservatives, David Cameron, Parliament, Prime Minister, Theresa May, Tories
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‘With the Labour Party in complete turmoil, does it have any chance of regaining power by 2025? No’, City AM, 13 July 2016.
Labour is going to lose the next general election and very probably the one after that. So whether it can win again by 2025 depends entirely on how soon Theresa May decides to go to the country. General elections are … Continue reading
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Tagged Brexit, Conservative Party, Jeremy Corbyn, Labour Party, Theresa May
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‘With Nigel Farage off the scene, will it be easier to reach a compromise with the EU on free movement? No’, City AM, 5 July 2016.
Nigel Farage has a fair claim to being the country’s most influential politician of the last decade. The pressure his party exerted on the Tories forced David Cameron into a referendum which he never wanted but now looks set to … Continue reading
‘Simply unstoppable or a self-inflicted wound?’, UK in a Changing Europe, 21 June 2016.
Today, we heard the Prime Minister give his final plea on why we should remain in the European Union, but if David Cameron ever truly believed he could stop his party ‘banging on about Europe’ when it finally got back … Continue reading
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Tagged Brexit, Conservative Party, David Cameron, EU referendum, EU renegotiation, Euroscepticism, UKIP
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‘The Corn Laws analogy is misplaced. There’s no good reason why the Tories should split over Europe’, ConservativeHome, 17 May 2016.
An apocryphal aphorism coined by a firebrand left-wing legend might not be an obvious way to start a discussion about what could happen to the Conservative Party in the wake of the EU Referendum, but Nye Bevan surely had a … Continue reading
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Tagged Brexit, Conservative Party, Conservatives, Corn Laws, David Cameron, EU referendum, Euroscepticism
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‘David Cameron is not the man to shoot the Conservative Eurosceptic dog’, Telegraph, 10 May 2016
You know the Tory Civil War is back on when the body-snatching starts again in earnest. A few weeks ago, Winston Churchill’s grandson, Sir Nicholas Soames, the MP for Mid-Sussex, made it plain that he took a dim view of … Continue reading
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Tagged Brexit, Conservative Party, Conservatives, David Cameron, EU, EU referendum, Euroscepticism, Tory
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‘Why Iain Duncan Smith resignation registers a six on the political Richter Scale’, The Conversation, 20 March 2016.
If there were a Richter Scale of Political Resignations, then prime ministers such as Margaret Thatcher, Harold Wilson and Harold Macmillan would register at the very top – on nine. Big beasts such as Conservative Chancellor Geoffrey Howe and Defence … Continue reading
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Tagged Brexit, Budget, Conservative Party, David Cameron, EU referendum, George Osborne, Iain Duncan Smith, IDS, Welfare
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‘EU referendum: A third of MPs could still back Brexit’ (with Philip Cowley and Anand Menon), Spectator, 1 February 2016
How many MPs will come out for Brexit? After hearing endless best guesses, we got rather fed up, and used Ipsos Mori’s Reputation Centre to conduct a proper survey of MPs. The total sample size is just under 100, with … Continue reading
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Tagged Brexit, Conservative Party, David Cameron, EU referendum, MPs, Tories
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