Tim Bale’s Blog- “End of the Brexit era? Burnham’s pivot back to Europe”, Anadolu Ajansı, 7 October 2026.
- “Burnham’s proposed electoral reform could have unpredictable effects”, LSE Blog, 6 October 2026.
- “The Keminaissance is a myth. The Tories are still like a weird uncle”, Bright Blue, 2 October.
- “Members of right‑leaning parties prefer leaders with ‘dark triad’ personality traits” (with Paul Webb and Stavroula Chrona), The Conversation, 18 September, 2026.
- “A fractured Union? Scotland, Wales, and Northern Ireland first ministers meeting”, Anadolu Ajansı, 17 September 2026.
- “Can’t you do it?”, Review of “Sunak at 10” by Anthony Seldon and Tom Egerton, Literary Review, 2 September 2026.
- “Hands off the constitution, Andy”, Unherd, 18 August 2026
- ‘Why Nigel Farage is resigning as an MP, only to stand again – expert analysis: Self-pity and self-obsession’, The Conversation, 7 July 2026.
- ‘There’s one thing that could revive Farage’s fortunes’, Independent, 29 June 2026.
- ‘Migration, Brexit, and Starmer’s exit: Inside Britain’s political meltdown’, Anadolu Agency, 23 June 2026
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Recent Posts
- “End of the Brexit era? Burnham’s pivot back to Europe”, Anadolu Ajansı, 7 October 2026.
- “Burnham’s proposed electoral reform could have unpredictable effects”, LSE Blog, 6 October 2026.
- “The Keminaissance is a myth. The Tories are still like a weird uncle”, Bright Blue, 2 October.
- “Members of right‑leaning parties prefer leaders with ‘dark triad’ personality traits” (with Paul Webb and Stavroula Chrona), The Conversation, 18 September, 2026.
- “A fractured Union? Scotland, Wales, and Northern Ireland first ministers meeting”, Anadolu Ajansı, 17 September 2026.
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Category Archives: Uncategorized
‘Labour is struggling, but there are four reasons Conservatives cannot be complacent’, ConservativeHome, 26 September 2024
Not for the first time, it was Focaldata’s James Kanagasooriam – the analyst who initially drew attention to the Red Wall’s potential to turn blue in 2019 – who put his finger on it before anyone else. “Labour”, he predicted a … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged Conservative Party, defeat, Elections, keir-starmer, Labour Party, recovery
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‘Out of the box: the Tory case for electoral reform’, House Magazine/PoliticsHome, 18 July 2024
Britain’s first-past-thepost (FPTP) electoral system has always been something of a sacred cow to the country’s Conservatives. But it’s one they now need to think seriously about slaughtering. At the beginning of the 20th century, most of the Conservative Party’s … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged Conservative Party, electoral-reform, Nigel Farage, reform-uk
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‘Wealthy, white and rightwing: the Tory members holding the party’s future in their hands’, Observer, 6 October 2024
The Conservative party is more than just 121 MPs. It’s also tens of thousands of ordinary members. The £39 a year they pay to belong might not entitle them to any real say on the party’s policies, but it does … Continue reading
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Tagged Conservative Party, party members, tory-leadership, uk-politics
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‘What makes a good leader – according to Tory members’, House Magazine, 30 September 2024
Whether the Hansard Society’s Audit of Political Engagement, published in the spring of 2019, helped persuade Boris Johnson to get Brexit done “by any means necessary”, we shall never know. But its finding that just over half of respondents believed that … Continue reading
‘UK election: Reform and Green members campaigned more online – but pounded the pavements less’, The Conversation, 27 September 2024 (with Paul Webb and Stavroula Chrona).
It’s party conference season in Britain, a chance for members to meet and talk through their successes and failures from the election campaign – and start talking strategy for the next. Perhaps inevitably after it suffered such a crushing defeat … Continue reading
‘What’s behind the attacks on Muslims and migrants by far-right groups in the UK?,’ Anadolu Agency, 5 August 2024.
In the past few days, the United Kingdom has witnessed a wave of violent disorder. Many of those involved are doubtless motivated not so much by politics as by the kind of excitement that football hooligans the world over have … Continue reading
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‘What it means to be Right-wing today,’ Telegraph, 27 July 2024.
Only when nominations close on Monday can we be sure who’s formally in the running to take over the Tory leadership. But the candidates, declared and prospective, have already been setting out their stalls in the pages of this newspaper … Continue reading
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‘The collapse of Britain’s stillborn Rwanda plan,’ Anadolu Agency, 3 July 2024
The Conservative government’s plan to deport the vast bulk of those claiming asylum in the United Kingdom (UK) to Rwanda was always about politics rather than policy – symbolism rather than substance. It was first unveiled in the spring of … Continue reading
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‘Election vox pops may entertain – but they won’t tell you who’s won…’, Independent, 3 June, 2024.
Only one week into a six-week election campaign and, if you’re watching or listening to any of the UK’s biggest broadcasters, you already can’t move for vox pops. Ironically, the journalists who conduct them aren’t necessarily that keen on them. Indeed, some … Continue reading
‘Don’t count Nigel Farage out just yet’, Unherd, 25 May 2024.
Who knows what Nigel Farage is really up to? Apart from Farage himself, that is, though he sometimes seems to have trouble making his mind up. But now he has, what are we to make of his decision not to stand for … Continue reading