Tim Bale’s Blog- ‘Will Nigel Farage overtake the prime minister as the U-turn leader?’, Independent, 2 April 2026
- ‘Polarised and Powerful: Party Members in British Politics’, Political Insight, 18 March 2026.
- ‘Political treachery is a dangerous art. Streeting must perfect it if he wants to wear the crown’, Daily Telegraph, 16 February 2026.
- ‘The two bloc polarisation of Britain’s voters and Party members’, LSE British Politics Blog, 2 February 2026.
- ‘Ahead of seismic local elections, what we know about Reform’s ability to put boots on the ground for the campaign’, The Conversation, 20 January 2026
- ‘Churchill’s defection didn’t kill the Tories. Robert Jenrick’s certainly won’t’, Daily Telegraph, 19 January 2026.
- ‘The ten most surprising facts from the 2024 election revealed’, The Conversation, 15 December 2025.
- ‘Our survey of Green party members suggests Zack Polanski has the mandate to take his party in a more radical direction’, (with Paul Webb and Stavroula Chrona) The Conversation, 3 September 2025
- ‘Even tactical voting will not help Labour survive a Tory-Reform pact’, Independent, 3 December 2025.
- ‘A Reform UK government isn’t inevitable’, Interview with LSE’s Joanna Bale (no relation!), 18 September 2025.
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Recent Posts
- ‘Will Nigel Farage overtake the prime minister as the U-turn leader?’, Independent, 2 April 2026
- ‘Polarised and Powerful: Party Members in British Politics’, Political Insight, 18 March 2026.
- ‘Political treachery is a dangerous art. Streeting must perfect it if he wants to wear the crown’, Daily Telegraph, 16 February 2026.
- ‘The two bloc polarisation of Britain’s voters and Party members’, LSE British Politics Blog, 2 February 2026.
- ‘Ahead of seismic local elections, what we know about Reform’s ability to put boots on the ground for the campaign’, The Conversation, 20 January 2026
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Category Archives: Uncategorized
‘An over-chillaxed David Cameron drops a brick with his bombshell’, FT, 24 March 2015
Either David Cameron is one of the more unusual men ever to have become British prime minister — one of those rare birds in politics (the last was Stanley Baldwin back in 1937) who quit while they are genuinely ahead … Continue reading
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Tagged Boris Johnson, Conservative Party, David Cameron, George Osborne, leader, Prime Minister, Theresa May, Tories
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‘The Labour Campaign, 2015: some educated guesses’, Political Studies Association Media Briefing, 24 March 2015
Labour will: Focus as much as possible on measures contained in three of its five rather vague pledges – particularly on its popular (if not necessarily workable or sensible) offers on university tuition fees (a heat seeking missile aimed directly … Continue reading
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‘It’s competence, stupid: Labour should have done more with the Tories’ mistakes’, New Statesman, 1 April 2015
We live in an era of valence rather than position politics. Like it or not, most voters prefer good government to grand ideological visions. This does not mean to say that there is no place for narrative or for values. … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged Competence, Conservatives, Ed Miliband, Labour, Maurice Saatchi
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‘How Left is Labour?’, Compass, 23 March 2015
Red Ed. His opponents swear he is. Some of his supporters wish to God he was. For every Tory politician who claims that Labour has moved left under his leadership, there’s a Labour activist who only wishes that it really … Continue reading
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‘Should Labour fear “Pasokification”?’, Policy Network, 10 March 2015
The rise of populist radical left parties like Syriza in Greece and Podemos in Spain pose something of a challenge for academic observers of politics. Our understanding of populism per se has almost certainly been overly influenced by the fact … Continue reading
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‘What kind of PM would Miliband make’, Westminster Policy Institute, Westminster Policy Institute, 6 March 2015
Not that many people are prepared to go into bat for Ed Miliband. But if they do, they almost always make the following observation. Ed spent a year-and-a-half in the Cabinet between 2008 and 2010, and spent more than five … Continue reading
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‘We still haven’t had “the first internet election” – but it could come soon’, ConservativeHome, 19 February 2015.
With May 7th fast approaching, observers of politics, be they journalists or academics, will be asking, just as they’ve been doing since at least the mid-nineties, when British parties first woke up to the web, “will this be the first internet … Continue reading
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‘The UK’s political parties do matter when it comes to determining immigration policy’, Democratic Audit UK, 29 January 2015 (with James Hampshire)
The fact that the Conservative-Lib Dem coalition has clearly been unable to meet its target of reducing net migration from the hundreds to the tens of thousands – a promise that could almost certainly never have been met and therefore … Continue reading
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British voters open to a Jewish prime minister — but some are more welcoming than others, The Conversation, 22 January 2015
The horrific murder of four Jewish men in a Paris supermarket has understandably provoked a debate about levels of anti-Semitism throughout Europe, including, of course, the UK. According to some campaigning organisations things aren’t good and may be getting worse. … Continue reading
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‘A Newer Labour’, Policy Network, 8 January 2015
It may seem strange to kick off a discussion on what the next Labour government can learn from the last one with a brief excursion back to the 1980s. But anyone interested in statecraft should take a look at what … Continue reading