Tim Bale’s Blog- ‘Will Nigel Farage overtake the prime minister as the U-turn leader?’, Independent, 2 April 2026
- ‘Polarised and Powerful: Party Members in British Politics’, Political Insight, 18 March 2026.
- ‘Political treachery is a dangerous art. Streeting must perfect it if he wants to wear the crown’, Daily Telegraph, 16 February 2026.
- ‘The two bloc polarisation of Britain’s voters and Party members’, LSE British Politics Blog, 2 February 2026.
- ‘Ahead of seismic local elections, what we know about Reform’s ability to put boots on the ground for the campaign’, The Conversation, 20 January 2026
- ‘Churchill’s defection didn’t kill the Tories. Robert Jenrick’s certainly won’t’, Daily Telegraph, 19 January 2026.
- ‘The ten most surprising facts from the 2024 election revealed’, The Conversation, 15 December 2025.
- ‘Our survey of Green party members suggests Zack Polanski has the mandate to take his party in a more radical direction’, (with Paul Webb and Stavroula Chrona) The Conversation, 3 September 2025
- ‘Even tactical voting will not help Labour survive a Tory-Reform pact’, Independent, 3 December 2025.
- ‘A Reform UK government isn’t inevitable’, Interview with LSE’s Joanna Bale (no relation!), 18 September 2025.
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Recent Posts
- ‘Will Nigel Farage overtake the prime minister as the U-turn leader?’, Independent, 2 April 2026
- ‘Polarised and Powerful: Party Members in British Politics’, Political Insight, 18 March 2026.
- ‘Political treachery is a dangerous art. Streeting must perfect it if he wants to wear the crown’, Daily Telegraph, 16 February 2026.
- ‘The two bloc polarisation of Britain’s voters and Party members’, LSE British Politics Blog, 2 February 2026.
- ‘Ahead of seismic local elections, what we know about Reform’s ability to put boots on the ground for the campaign’, The Conversation, 20 January 2026
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Category Archives: Uncategorized
‘Let’s junk our electoral system’, UnHerd, 19 March 2019.
“The crisis”, according to Antonio Gramsci, “consists precisely in the fact that the old is dying and the new cannot be born; in this interregnum a great variety of morbid symptoms appear.” Sure, those lines were penned (in prison as … Continue reading
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‘Both the Conservatives and Labour are in thrall to member power’, FT, 25 May 2019.
“It’s a funny old world,” observed Margaret Thatcher as she was forced by her party to step down as Tory leader and UK prime minister back in 1990. She’d won the Conservatives three elections on the trot — two of … Continue reading
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‘Tory leadership: Who gets to choose the UK’s next prime minister?’, BBC, 25 May 2019.
With Theresa May finally on her way out of Downing Street, a Tory leadership contest that has been bubbling under for months is now starting. It’s a two-stage process. The first sees votes among Conservative MPs designed to whittle the … Continue reading
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‘What Londoners really want is local people on their councils’ (with Philip Cowley), Times, 20 May 2019.
London might be one of the world’s most multicultural, multi-ethnic cities but recent research shows that BME people, especially BME women, are seriously underrepresented in the capital’s local politics. The proportion of black and Asian councillors has risen over the … Continue reading
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‘Is the Conservative Party full of Islamophobes?’, Independent, 12 May 2019
Talk of Tory Islamophobia has some way to go before it rivals Labour antisemitism but it is getting louder. This week there was a damning report about Facebook posts by self-identified grassroots members of the Conservative Party, some of whom seem bent … Continue reading
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‘Would Margaret Thatcher have taken the US side against Huawei? Not necessarily’, Guardian, 10 May 2019
Lady Thatcher may be an icon to her most devoted fans but, as far as I know, none of them has ever worn a “What would Maggie do?” wristband. That’s not to say that they don’t find themselves asking (or … Continue reading
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‘Forty years ago, Thatcherism swept Britain. Could our new parties repeat the trick?’, Observer, 28 April 2019
Forty years ago this week, the Conservative party won the UK general election with 44% of the vote, netting the country’s first female prime minister, Margaret Thatcher, a comfortable overall majority of 43 seats and setting her up nicely for what … Continue reading
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‘Brexit is tearing apart Britain’s establishment political parties’, Telegraph, 29 March 2019.
Brexit threatens to blow the British party system apart. Differences over the UK’s relationship with the EU have never been deeper, more salient and more entrenched than they are now. Europe has become a fundamental cleavage, rivalling those which have … Continue reading
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‘Is this Britain’s Macron moment?’, Politico, 18 February 2019.
A split in one of the two big British political parties has long been the subject of fevered speculation. Now it’s finally happened. Pundits and pollsters are racing to weigh in on the decision of seven Labour MPs to leave their … Continue reading
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‘Brexit poll: British public thinks the EU has been harsh in negotiations’ (with Sarah Wolff and Javier Sajuria), 12 February 2019.
Nearly two thirds of British people think that the EU has been a harsh negotiator over Brexit, according to the latest survey by the Center for European Research at Queen Mary University of London. Donald Tusk recently caused anger by suggesting that there is a “special … Continue reading
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