Tim Bale’s Blog- ‘Why Nigel Farage is resigning as an MP, only to stand again – expert analysis: Self-pity and self-obsession’, The Conversation, 7 July 2026.
- ‘There’s one thing that could revive Farage’s fortunes’, Independent, 29 June 2026.
- ‘Migration, Brexit, and Starmer’s exit: Inside Britain’s political meltdown’, Anadolu Agency, 23 June 2026
- ‘Brexit might just have killed the Conservative Party’, LSE Blog, 18 June 2026
- Electoral reform for the UK? Don’t bet on it, Financial Times, 3 June 2026.
- ‘Britain’s “ungovernable” decade’, Anadolu Ajansı, 21 May 2026.
- ‘Dumping Starmer won’t reverse Labour’s fortunes [unless….]’, New Statesman, 12 May 2026
- ‘Will Nigel Farage overtake the prime minister as the U-turn leader?’, Independent, 2 April 2026
- ‘Polarised and Powerful: Party Members in British Politics’, Political Insight, 18 March 2026.
- ‘Political treachery is a dangerous art. Streeting must perfect it if he wants to wear the crown’, Daily Telegraph, 16 February 2026.
Author Archives: tpbale
‘Want to get your research noticed by politicians? Work with a think tank’, Guardian, 27 April 2015
Academic impact on politicians can be a hit and miss affair. Indeed, when it comes to direct influence, it may well be more hit than miss. Carefully crafted press releases and the launch of new institutes is one thing. But … Continue reading
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Tagged Channel Four, Conservatives, Demos, IPPR, Labour, Liberal Democrats, Open Europe, Policy Exchange, Think Tanks
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‘Cameron looks more like a captive than a captain of his party’, ConservativeHome, 26 April 2015
You don’t have to have succumbed to full-blown “Milifandom” to notice that Labour’s leader seems to be having a better election than his Conservative counterpart. He can’t possibly be as ubiquitous in real life as he’s been on Twitter of … Continue reading
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Tagged Conservative Party, David Cameron, Ed Miliband, Labour, Milifandom
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‘UKIP should not be written off yet’, Financial Times, 24 April 2015
The narrative says one thing but the numbers say another. Contrary to common wisdom, the UK Independence party — and its leader — seem to be holding up fairly well under fire. There are plenty of accounts of the campaign … Continue reading
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Tagged Conservatives, David Cameron, Ed Miliband, Labour, Nigel Farage, UKIP
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‘General Election: the Parallels with 1970’s Shock Result’, Financial Times, 17 April 2015
Human beings are hard-wired to search for patterns and parallels — especially those that seem to confirm their existing prejudices. Hardly surprising, then, that politicians are so fond of comparisons between elections past and present, and so inclined to pick … Continue reading
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Tagged 1970 General Election, Conservatives, David Cameron, Ed Miliband, Harold Wilson, Labour, Ted Heath
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‘UK general election: ‘Happy Warrior’ confronts bomber pilot’, Financial Times, 10 April 2015
What constitutes a good week for a party leader during an election campaign depends very much on which leader you are talking about, as well as the kind of campaign they have made up their mind to fight. David Cameron, … Continue reading
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‘The Napoleonic truth about coalitions: getting most seats doesn’t mean you win’, Guardian, 6 April 2015
Imagine this. It’s Sunday 18 June 1815 near a little-known place called Waterloo. Battle lines are drawn when word comes down the line that Napoleon Bonaparte is to be declared the winner without a shot being fired. He, after all, … Continue reading
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‘Do party leaders really matter?’, FT, 3 April 2015
As TV debate postmortems continue into the weekend, we would do well to step back and ask ourselves a simple question — one that’s far more fundamental than who won and who lost on Thursday night. Do party leaders really … Continue reading
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‘An over-chillaxed David Cameron drops a brick with his bombshell’, FT, 24 March 2015
Either David Cameron is one of the more unusual men ever to have become British prime minister — one of those rare birds in politics (the last was Stanley Baldwin back in 1937) who quit while they are genuinely ahead … Continue reading
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Tagged Boris Johnson, Conservative Party, David Cameron, George Osborne, leader, Prime Minister, Theresa May, Tories
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‘The Labour Campaign, 2015: some educated guesses’, Political Studies Association Media Briefing, 24 March 2015
Labour will: Focus as much as possible on measures contained in three of its five rather vague pledges – particularly on its popular (if not necessarily workable or sensible) offers on university tuition fees (a heat seeking missile aimed directly … Continue reading
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‘It’s competence, stupid: Labour should have done more with the Tories’ mistakes’, New Statesman, 1 April 2015
We live in an era of valence rather than position politics. Like it or not, most voters prefer good government to grand ideological visions. This does not mean to say that there is no place for narrative or for values. … Continue reading
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Tagged Competence, Conservatives, Ed Miliband, Labour, Maurice Saatchi
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