Tim Bale’s Blog- ‘Why Nigel Farage is resigning as an MP, only to stand again – expert analysis: Self-pity and self-obsession’, The Conversation, 7 July 2026.
- ‘There’s one thing that could revive Farage’s fortunes’, Independent, 29 June 2026.
- ‘Migration, Brexit, and Starmer’s exit: Inside Britain’s political meltdown’, Anadolu Agency, 23 June 2026
- ‘Brexit might just have killed the Conservative Party’, LSE Blog, 18 June 2026
- Electoral reform for the UK? Don’t bet on it, Financial Times, 3 June 2026.
- ‘Britain’s “ungovernable” decade’, Anadolu Ajansı, 21 May 2026.
- ‘Dumping Starmer won’t reverse Labour’s fortunes [unless….]’, New Statesman, 12 May 2026
- ‘Will Nigel Farage overtake the prime minister as the U-turn leader?’, Independent, 2 April 2026
- ‘Polarised and Powerful: Party Members in British Politics’, Political Insight, 18 March 2026.
- ‘Political treachery is a dangerous art. Streeting must perfect it if he wants to wear the crown’, Daily Telegraph, 16 February 2026.
Author Archives: tpbale
‘Can Theresa May even sell her new conservatism to her own cabinet?’, Observer, 17 May 2016.
Political parties can be frighteningly small worlds, with a cripplingly limited cast of characters. As a result, people whose careers are widely assumed to be over – either because they once messed up badly or because their face no longer … Continue reading
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Tagged Conservative Party, Conservative Party members, Nick Timothy, Theresa May, Tories
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‘Middle-class university graduates will decide the future of the Labour Party’, New Statesman, 14 July 2016 (with Monica Poletti and Paul Webb).
We don’t yet know whether it will be Angela Eagle or Owen Smith, or maybe both of them, who ends up running against Jeremy Corbyn for the Labour leadership. But what we do know – because we reckon we now … Continue reading
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Tagged Jeremy Corbyn, Labour leadership, Labour members, Labour Party, party members
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‘With the Labour Party in complete turmoil, does it have any chance of regaining power by 2025? No’, City AM, 13 July 2016.
Labour is going to lose the next general election and very probably the one after that. So whether it can win again by 2025 depends entirely on how soon Theresa May decides to go to the country. General elections are … Continue reading
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Tagged Brexit, Conservative Party, Jeremy Corbyn, Labour Party, Theresa May
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‘What do the Tory grassroots want from Prime Minister Theresa May?’, Conversation, 11 July 2016 (with Paul Webb and Monica Poletti).
Theresa May has secured her place as Prime Minister and leader of the Conservatives without having to win the direct approval of her party’s membership. The original plan was for her to run against Andrea Leadsom in an election, but … Continue reading
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Tagged Conservative Party, Conservative Party members, party members, Theresa May, Tories, Tory Party
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‘With Nigel Farage off the scene, will it be easier to reach a compromise with the EU on free movement? No’, City AM, 5 July 2016.
Nigel Farage has a fair claim to being the country’s most influential politician of the last decade. The pressure his party exerted on the Tories forced David Cameron into a referendum which he never wanted but now looks set to … Continue reading
‘Jezza’s Bezzas: Labour’s New Members’, Huffington Post, 28 June 2016.
Labour is in crisis. Whoever stands in the next leadership contest will have to face its grassroots members, large numbers of whom joined the party to help elect Jeremy Corbyn in 2015. With the help of YouGov and as part … Continue reading
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Tagged Jeremy Corbyn, Labour, Labour members, Labour Party, party members
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‘Simply unstoppable or a self-inflicted wound?’, UK in a Changing Europe, 21 June 2016.
Today, we heard the Prime Minister give his final plea on why we should remain in the European Union, but if David Cameron ever truly believed he could stop his party ‘banging on about Europe’ when it finally got back … Continue reading
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Tagged Brexit, Conservative Party, David Cameron, EU referendum, EU renegotiation, Euroscepticism, UKIP
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‘Antisemitism is rare in Britain, but Labour should still examine itself’, New Statesman, 20 May 2016.
Another week, another bunch of stories about antisemitism in the Labour Party. First off we had the announcement that Shami Chakrabarti’s inquiry would aim to report by the end of June. Barely had we had time to digest that before we … Continue reading
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Tagged antisemitism, Conservative Party, Jeremy Corbyn, Labour, Labour Party, UKIP
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‘The Corn Laws analogy is misplaced. There’s no good reason why the Tories should split over Europe’, ConservativeHome, 17 May 2016.
An apocryphal aphorism coined by a firebrand left-wing legend might not be an obvious way to start a discussion about what could happen to the Conservative Party in the wake of the EU Referendum, but Nye Bevan surely had a … Continue reading
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Tagged Brexit, Conservative Party, Conservatives, Corn Laws, David Cameron, EU referendum, Euroscepticism
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‘David Cameron is not the man to shoot the Conservative Eurosceptic dog’, Telegraph, 10 May 2016
You know the Tory Civil War is back on when the body-snatching starts again in earnest. A few weeks ago, Winston Churchill’s grandson, Sir Nicholas Soames, the MP for Mid-Sussex, made it plain that he took a dim view of … Continue reading
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Tagged Brexit, Conservative Party, Conservatives, David Cameron, EU, EU referendum, Euroscepticism, Tory
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