Author Archives: tpbale

‘Brexit shows how the populist right can be powerful without winning office’, Washington Post, 2 December 2019.

The populist radical right wins power in different countries in different ways. In Hungary and Poland, what were initially mainstream conservative parties with populist tendencies drifted inexorably, and now, it seems, irrevocably, into illiberalism once in government. Brexit provides perhaps … Continue reading

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‘Who is winning the ground war in London?’ (with Philip Cowley), Times, 6 December 2019.

Everyone knows that Labour has the largest grassroots membership of any British political party, aided by thousands of keen Momentum activists. Everyone knows that as a result they will out-perform the Conservatives and Liberal Democrats when it comes to what … Continue reading

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‘Why is the Conservative Party so good at winning?’, Bloomberg, 18 November 2019.

British Conservatives can claim to be the world’s oldest and most successful political party. They’ve been written off more than a few times in the 200-plus years they’ve been around. But they’ve always bounced back. Their secret? The ability and … Continue reading

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‘Nigel Farage will fight Labour seats after pact with Boris Johnson fails – so what’s he up to?’, The Conversation, 15 November 2019.

Some 200 years ago, Britain, France and Austria agreed a treaty designed to counter their common rivals, Russia and Prussia. It was signed in secret by the British foreign secretary Viscount Castlereagh and his opposite numbers, the French Duke of Talleyrand and … Continue reading

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‘Why do people support Boris Johnson’s Brexit deal?’ (with Stephen Fisher and Eilidh Macfarlane), YouGov, 12 November 2019.

Lots of exasperation, not that much enthusiasm and a big dollop of don’t know: support for Boris Johnson’s EU deal and implications for the election Brexit is going to play a big part in determining who wins the general election, … Continue reading

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‘How much do Londoners care about Brexit?’ (with Alan Wager), UK in a Changing Europe, 11 November 2019.

How important will Brexit be in deciding the general election in the UK’s capital? To hear some people talk you’d think that London is also the capital of Remainia, jam-packed with voters who can’t wait to send a full slate of EU-flag-waving … Continue reading

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‘The ground war: Conservatives likely to be outgunned’, UK in a Changing Europe, 6 November 2019.

For all the increasing interest in the way parties these days fight elections on social as well as on broadcast and print media, the ground war – fought by ordinary people on streets up and down the country – still … Continue reading

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